仓位测算报告:市场连阴回暖乏术 基金减仓谨慎应对

根据好买基金研究中心仓位测算结果,本月偏股型基金的仓位水平总体上较上月跌幅明显,而且仓位水平的波动非常剧烈,当前偏股型基金的平均仓位为75.20%,虽然较前一周上升了174个基点,但是比11月减少了 217个基点。

三、 不同规模基金仓位

(一) 当前仓位

12月几乎所有的公墓基金都进行了减仓,其中以大型基金的减仓幅度最为显著,股票仓位已低于中小型基金。截至12月29日,小型偏股型基金的平均仓位为75.49%,超过大型基金仓位约170个基点。股票型基金中,只有小型基金的仓位还维持在8成以上,而大中型基金的仓位分别只有77.76%和78.48%。混合型基金的仓位基本都以降至70%一下,小型混合基金的仓位甚至仅为64.93%。市场在跌破前期低点之后急转直下,机构的筑底预期未能实现,因此各类基金都暂时减少权益投资的比例以规避市场的下跌风险。

数据来源:好买基金研究中心,数据截止日:2011-12-29

(二) 主动调仓幅度

从调仓方向上看,市场持续低迷的表现导致各基金的预期开始出现差异。与上周相比,所有基金都增加了用于股票投资的仓位,其中大中型基金的增仓幅度大致相当,而小型基金则相对比较谨慎,仓位增长有限。而从月变化来看,大型基金和小型基金均以减仓位主要调整方向,中型基金则有一定的加仓趋势。此外,从基金投资分类上看,各类股票型基金都减低了仓位,而除了小型混合型基金外,其它混合型基金都进行了一定的增仓。

数据来源:好买基金研究中心,数据截止日:2011-12-29

数据来源:好买基金研究中心,数据截止日:2011-12-29

四、 基金公司当前仓位及变化

截至12月29日,60家基金公司中股票仓位达到或超过80%的数量明显下降,仅为17家,其中仓位最高的是新华、浦银安盛、汇丰晋信、中欧和长信。仓位较低的分别为民生加银、益民、摩根士丹利华鑫、金元比联和海富通,持股仓位均在6成左右徘徊,民生加银的仓位甚至低于60%。与上月相比,交银施罗德、广发和东方的主动加仓幅度较大,分别为9.74%、8.67%和7.99%;而民生加银、泰达宏利和海富通三家大幅减少持股仓位,减仓幅度分别为19.11、11.40和9.90个百分点。

基金公司当前仓位及主动调仓

基金公司

基金个数

当前仓位

上周仓位

主动调仓

上月仓位

主动调仓

上季末仓位

益民

2

60.31%

57.23%

3.89%

72.37%

-9.31%

73.04%

天弘

3

79.96%

83.02%

-2.65%

80.09%

2.01%

80.79%

诺安

7

72.71%

71.55%

1.63%

84.30%

-9.72%

79.01%

东方

4

73.15%

65.72%

8.00%

67.98%

7.99%

73.30%

泰信

5

82.89%

83.69%

-0.43%

79.59%

5.68%

84.05%

中邮创业

4

81.27%

80.25%

1.41%

84.85%

-1.64%

80.38%

汇添富

9

70.63%

68.16%

3.13%

66.14%

7.59%

76.52%

光大保德信

7

80.83%

77.15%

4.07%

84.49%

-1.77%

85.21%

招商

7

79.22%

77.42%

2.21%

83.21%

-2.05%

75.83%

华宝兴业

9

72.00%

71.28%

1.22%

75.76%

-1.33%

73.92%

摩根士丹利华鑫

5

62.22%

62.67%

0.27%

66.57%

-1.27%

56.51%

华富

4

81.02%

79.75%

1.71%

78.69%

4.83%

77.03%

银河

6

66.83%

68.70%

-1.23%

64.65%

5.43%

73.23%

新华

6

90.74%

88.09%

2.96%

87.23%

5.04%

86.60%

建信

5

75.72%

70.54%

5.73%

81.74%

-3.95%

81.14%

中欧

5

84.49%

79.41%

5.56%

78.89%

7.85%

82.59%

汇丰晋信

7

86.91%

84.82%

2.45%

90.31%

-2.10%

82.86%

华夏

14

75.66%

73.43%

2.69%

79.38%

-1.48%

80.37%

景顺长城

11

76.24%

74.38%

2.36%

81.70%

-3.46%

79.87%

广发

10

81.31%

78.19%

3.61%

74.93%

8.67%

82.85%

上投摩根

9

76.45%

72.69%

4.31%

79.04%

-0.32%

79.99%

华泰柏瑞

5

76.38%

74.49%

2.48%

73.67%

5.40%

74.10%

泰达宏利

10

63.37%

61.64%

2.50%

77.25%

-11.40%

70.71%

博时

11

64.17%

61.18%

3.48%

69.44%

-2.83%

68.87%

万家

4

74.46%

77.73%

-2.78%

80.01%

-3.16%

75.28%

信诚

6

83.42%

81.72%

2.17%

82.16%

3.32%

78.64%

融通

6

77.69%

76.25%

1.92%

81.68%

-2.09%

78.81%

诺德

4

81.94%

77.21%

5.22%

78.79%

5.40%

74.71%

国泰

9

78.60%

74.77%

4.34%

73.73%

7.65%

82.51%

申万菱信

5

80.99%

79.01%

2.41%

84.78%

-1.98%

84.93%

国投瑞银

5

70.89%

70.83%

0.63%

74.70%

-1.31%

74.45%

鹏华

9

74.99%

73.95%

1.55%

80.94%

-3.81%

80.77%

南方

11

76.69%

75.31%

1.85%

78.68%

0.21%

76.73%

嘉实

12

73.97%

67.67%

6.95%

69.07%

7.62%

77.83%

银华

8

71.43%

74.77%

-2.76%

78.70%

-5.00%

77.62%

天治

5

70.07%

68.35%

2.27%

78.68%

-6.47%

67.11%

国海富兰克林

6

82.54%

81.67%

1.27%

86.12%

-1.90%

84.07%

中海

6

73.00%

75.54%

-2.00%

82.04%

-6.92%

76.56%

中银

7

65.72%

65.39%

1.05%

68.23%

0.62%

69.44%

海富通

8

63.24%

63.18%

0.73%

75.55%

-9.90%

70.44%

华安

8

76.97%

75.37%

2.11%

74.82%

4.91%

71.86%

浦银安盛

3

87.28%

88.79%

-1.22%

89.76%

-1.05%

75.10%

工银瑞信

6

78.01%

76.63%

1.87%

78.52%

1.73%

82.78%

富国

8

79.92%

73.03%

7.41%

81.56%

0.33%

85.53%

易方达

13

71.70%

70.52%

1.74%

71.86%

2.66%

79.36%

长信

6

83.98%

83.71%

0.62%

85.63%

0.13%

82.26%

信达澳银

4

79.68%

77.69%

2.50%

80.93%

0.98%

71.63%

农银汇理

5

78.72%

74.78%

4.54%

79.49%

1.53%

86.20%

交银施罗德

7

79.01%

72.34%

7.25%

72.09%

9.74%

74.25%

宝盈

5

77.89%

76.21%

1.99%

78.98%

1.10%

75.66%

兴业全球

4

70.09%

67.80%

2.93%

69.86%

3.25%

70.86%

长盛

6

69.59%

68.41%

1.75%

73.83%

-1.48%

73.58%

长城

8

70.13%

68.65%

2.16%

72.40%

0.57%

79.07%

国联安

7

66.06%

64.27%

2.42%

66.97%

1.99%

65.36%

金元比联

5

62.28%

63.16%

-0.17%

65.82%

-0.30%

68.98%

金鹰

6

77.85%

81.80%

-3.63%

84.90%

-5.08%

76.85%

民生加银

4

59.81%

60.24%

0.16%

81.14%

-19.11%

80.66%

华商

5

80.91%

84.07%

-2.76%

80.47%

2.78%

74.11%

大成

10

80.09%

74.94%

5.81%

77.77%

4.68%

81.46%

东吴

6

82.23%

82.99%

-0.33%

81.40%

2.93%

83.53%

数据来源:好买基金研究中心,数据截止日:2011-12-29

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